SCPA Algorithm

The SCPA (Statistical Crash Probability Analyses) algorithm  was developed in March of 2020 from my empirical research of all stock market crashes from 1901 through 2018. The impetus to conduct the research was the market crashes which simultaneously occurred for 13...

Probability is 87% that market is at interim bottom

Based on my crash statistical probability analysis (SCPA) the probability is 87.5% that the stock markets of the US and the five other leading developed countries, which have been crashing since February 20, 2020, have reached an interim bottom.   If the interim...

US Stock Market to decline by another 22% by Easter

The simultaneous double-digit declines for the stock markets of four of the world’s developed countries from February 20 to February 28, 2020 was not only an historic event; but unfortunately, ominous in that it portends dire financial times ahead.   Based on...