Federal Interest Costs, 1790–2033

As federal spending continues to rise, accumulated federal debt will soon reach all-time highs relative to the size of the economy. Federal debt held by the public will hit 107 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2028, surpassing the previous peak after World...

Google shares pop 5% after company announces Gemini AI model

Google shares jumped Thursday, a day after the company announced its latest artificial intelligence model called Gemini. Google executives said Gemini outperforms OpenAI’s GPT-3.5, but the company did not share how it compares with OpenAI’s latest model, GPT-4....

How to survive the worst bear market of all time

In Tom Wolfe’s famous essay about the 1970s, “The Me Decade,” he wrote about how Americans had abandoned communal thinking in favor of personal wealth. “They took their money and ran,” he wrote. In fact, there wasn’t much money to take. Today, with the...

The COVID-19 Pandemic Accelerates Nike’s Ecommerce Focus

US-based sports retailer, Nike, reported a $790 million quarterly loss and revenue $1 billion below initial Wall Street forecasts. Despite the poor quarterly results, Nike reported a 75% increase in digital sales. The results drove Nike’s management to change...

SCPA Algorithm

The SCPA (Statistical Crash Probability Analyses) algorithm  was developed in March of 2020 from my empirical research of all stock market crashes from 1901 through 2018. The impetus to conduct the research was the market crashes which simultaneously occurred for 13...