The SCPA (Statistical Crash Probability Analyses) algorithm  was developed in March of 2020 from my empirical research of all stock market crashes from 1901 through 2018.The impetus to conduct the research was the market crashes which simultaneously occurred for 13 of...

Based on my crash statistical probability analysis (SCPA) the probability is 87.5% that the stock markets of the US and the five other leading developed countries, which have been crashing since February 20, 2020, have reached an interim bottom.   If the interim...

Originally published by BullsnBears.com and by CapitalWatch.comThe simultaneous double-digit declines for the stock markets of four of the world’s developed countries from February 20 to February 28, 2020 was not only an historic event; but unfortunately, ominous in...

The three leading US based sharing economy companies are anticipated to launch their IPOs during 2019. Lyft, with the filing of its IPO registration statement, will likely be the first even though it was founded after UBER and Airbnb who were the founders of the...

The successful dot-coms of the late ‘90s and early ‘00s had a few things in common: they all vowed to “change the world”, had crazy-high valuations, and were wildly unprofitable. Here’s a look at one company’s rapid rise and fall — and the bubble’s lasting impact,...

The passage and implementation of Dodd-Frank has had a profound impact on the markets for all US stocks. Under Dodd-Frank for the first time in the history of the US, a broker became criminally liable for recommending stocks which then decline substantially in price....

Facebook director Peter Thiel just sold about three-quarters of his remaining stake in the company. While his 2004 investment of $500,000 made him a billionaire, an earlier sale of Facebook shares proved to be poorly timed. Peter Thiel sold the majority of his...

NEW YORK/LONDON, Sept 12 (Reuters) - White sugar futures fell on Tuesday, with the spot premium over raw sugar slipping to its lowest in more than 2-1/2 years on signs of a looming global supply glut. SUGAR * October white sugar settled down $11.50, or 3.1 percent, at...

In the usually bleak debate over the economic health of average Americans and the utility of the finance industry, here’s a happy statistic: A private-sector wealth-transfer machine has saved average investors $1 trillion. That machine is Vanguard, and its model is...

There have been two articles or reports that have been published since June 2014, which could spell disaster for Crowdfunding unless its leaders get Crowdfunding heading back to its community roots. The first was a June article, “For many startups there is no crowd in...

How much is Facebook worth? The company was projected to surpass $3 billion in revenue in 2011, but it is expected to reach a valuation of up to $100 billion by the time of its initial public offering later this year. When Facebook files a prospectus for an I.P.O....

Source: Monthly Chart Portfolio, Merrill Lynch Market Analysis, November 4, 2011I mentioned yesterday I had a long term chart of secular bear markets that was informative; the above chart (via Merrill Lynch) is what I was referring to. There are three issues worth...